Chiefs vs. Ravens Prediction, Best Bets & Odds for Sunday, 1/28
It’s nearly time for us to find out who is going to represent the AFC in Super Bowl 58, which will be decided at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore this Sunday afternoon with the Baltimore Ravens hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. It’s the first home AFC Championship Game in Ravens franchise history, and we’re here to get you set for it with our Chiefs vs. Ravens prediction.
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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS PREDICTION: Under 44.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction for Sunday's AFC Championship Game
Of the two conference championship games, this AFC clash is clearly expected to be the closer of the two. Oddsmakers have the Ravens as favorites of just over the key number of three, which makes it difficult to target the point spread.
But can Baltimore knock off this current dynasty that is the Chiefs? Absolutely they can, and they’ll need to do so by setting the tone early. The recent video of Roquan Smith mic’d up in the Divisional Round should have Ravens fans fired up, as the guy is simply out there to set the tone.
With how much has been made of Kansas City RB Isiah Pacheco being such a tough runner, Roquan will need to set that tone early. Also in terms of the running game, Baltimore needs to continue their success on first down to get them ahead of the sticks. Those two factors should help lead the Ravens to their third Super Bowl in franchise history.
A run-heavy battle should also lead to the clock grinding away, leading to fewer possessions and therefore, fewer points. That’s where our best Chiefs vs. Ravens prediction lies, so let’s break it down.
Best Bets for Chiefs vs. Ravens Featuring Under 44.5 Points
Kansas City has built their current dynasty on the back of QB Patrick Mahomes and their dynamic offense schemed by head coach Andy Reid. However, they no longer have that explosive element, and it’s their defense that has carried them this season.
The Chiefs allowed the third-fewest yards per game this year, while also allowing the second-fewest points per game. With Chris Jones anchoring the defensive front and L’Jarius Sneed being one of the best cornerbacks in the entire NFL, they’re great on each level. The Ravens run game is elite, but that doesn’t mean quick scoring drives.
Of course, Baltimore has been all about defense since their inception and their second-ever draft pick on Ray Lewis. That has continued with this generation of LBs in Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen. Not only that, but Marlon Humphrey is expected to be back on the field to add to their stellar secondary featured rookie Kyle Hamilton.
While KC may have allowed the second-fewest points per game, the only team better than them? The Ravens. Baltimore’s slow, methodical run game and top-tier defense should create a low-scoring AFC Championship game, making under 44.5 points (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook) our best Chiefs vs. Ravens prediction.
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Betting Odds for Chiefs vs. Ravens at BetMGM
We also have the latest Chiefs vs. Ravens odds at BetMGM Sportsbook for you, where a $115 bet on our pick of under 44.5 profits $100 as long as there are 44 or fewer points scored.
Point spread:
- Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 (-105) vs. Baltimore Ravens -3.5 (-115)
Money line:
- Kansas City Chiefs (+160) vs. Baltimore Ravens (-195)
Total (over/under):
- Over 44.5 (-105) vs. Under 44.5 (-115)
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Injury Report for Chiefs vs. Ravens, 1/28
Before locking in your Chiefs vs. Ravens best bets, be sure to take a look at the injury concerns for both teams heading into the weekend:
- Isaiah Pacheco (KC Chiefs)
- Kadarius Toney (KC Chiefs)
- Joe Thuney (KC Chiefs)
- Trey Smith (KC Chiefs)
- Willie Gay (KC Chiefs)
- Derrick Nnadi (KC Chiefs)
- Mike Edwards (KC Chiefs)
- Marlon Humphrey (BAL Ravens)
- Mark Andrews (BAL Ravens)
- Tylan Wallace (BAL Ravens)
AFC Champion History: Past Five Winners
We’ve all heard about the Chiefs making their six straight AFC Championship Game, so we know that plenty of fans are curious as to who the last five winners have been:
- 2022-23: Kansas City Chiefs
- 2021-22: Cincinnati Bengals
- 2020-21: Kansas City Chiefs
- 2019-20: Kansas City Chiefs
- 2018-19: New England Patriots
Whether you think the next to be on the list will be Baltimore or you want to stick with our Chiefs vs. Ravens prediction, make sure you lock in your pick while claiming a guaranteed $158 bonus by using the BetMGM promo code FNBALTIMORE when creating a new account.
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